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Critical Threat Outlook (CTO)

An essential resource for emergency & risk management, public safety and security professionals. The Critical Threat Outlook (CTO) is published every week, and highlights critical threats for the upcoming week that need to be on the radar of emergency professionals and concerned citizens. Expertly curated from over 50 trusted sources, it provides a single resource to assess weather, natural, cybersecurity, technological and adversarial risks, that can be read in under five minutes.

What's in the Critical Threat Outlook

The outlook is prepared over the weekend and delivered to your inbox ready for Monday morning. The email contains an executive summary and threat matrix (see below), so if you are busy you can review threats expected for your state or area of interest in under a minute. The email also contains a link to a PDF of the full outlook, which is professionally formatted and includes the following sections

Executive summary summarizes the most important parts of the other sections, in a concise way that can be reviewed in under a minute. Areas of impact are identified by broad geographic region or by state identifier, so you can quickly identify threats relevant to your locale.

Weather outlook and hazards includes detailed analysis of risks posed in the coming week from hurricanes, tornadoes, snow, winds, temperature extremes, severe weather and fire weather. The section references a detailed map from NOAA showing where hazards are expected, along with three specific focus maps & visualizations relevant to specific hazards in the coming week. The section also enumerates the specific hazards for states and areas allowing a quick review.

Other natural hazards covers earthquakes, volcanoes, wildfires, drought and public health emergencies including flu. Significant earthquakes over the past week are noted and mapped, and current alert status of volcanoes described. Specific areas of drought are mapped, and trends identified. A report is given on the status of current wildfires, and the wildfire risks for the upcoming week are analyzed. During flu season, weekly reports are given on flu prevalence and are shown on a state-by-state map. Additional information from the CDC and other sources about public health risks is given on an as needed basis.

Cybersecurity, technological & adversarial hazards analyzes all other hazards including cyber attacks, security vulnerabilities, privacy, nuclear events, solar/space weather impacts, and emerging large-scale political, public safety or civil disorder risks. Multiple trusted sources are reviewed on a weekly basis for cybersecurity, cyberattack and privacy alerts that could be of critical interest to the readership, including malware and ransomware attacks, vulnerabilities, cyberattacks and data breaches, and policy issues relating to cybersecurity and privacy. The technological section includes a review of information gathered from multiple sources about potential technological hazards including nuclear, dam failure and solar weather events. The adversarial section notes significant events over the last week that pertain to physical security, and identifies any signals of potential adversarial or security risks for the upcoming week.

The AllHazards Threat Matrix

The outlook includes the unique Threat Matrix every week. The Threat Matrix uses a detailed process to identify specific areas of threat for parts of the U.S. in the upcoming week. Threats are categorized into red for significant threats expected in the week; orange for moderate threats and green for no specific threat in the week. The matrix is designed to give an immediate indication of the threats that are expected in U.S. states over the next seven days. Below you can see an example of a recent Threat Matrix.

Threat matrix classifications use a process based on criteria from multiple sources that is constantly evolving based on available data sources and resources. While it should not be used as a primary information source, it is intended as a quick check on the hazards most likely to be of significant concern over the next week in at least one of the U.S. states.

Subscription

We are not currently taking subscription signups for the CTO service online. If you are interested in the product, please email us at info@allhazards.net.

Sample outlook

You can check out the full PDF of a recent outlook here, or by clicking on the image below.

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